Rivian stock (RIVN) price target lowered at Deutsche Bank

Analysts at Deutsche Bank have lowered their price target for Rivian stock (NASDAQ:RIVN) from $14 to $13 per share earlier this week. The bank opted to maintain itsHoldrating on RIVN shares. 

The analysts noted that they adjusted their expectations for the electric truck maker following the release of Rivian’s Q3 2024 vehicle delivery and production report. Rivian’s third quarter report left much to be desired, with the company revising its annual production guidance to between 47,000 and 49,000 vehicles, down from the 57,000 that it reaffirmed in August. 

“All in, we update our model to reflect Q3 deliveries and lower production outlook,Deutsche Bank analysts noted. The analysts also cited concerns about whether Rivian could attain a positive gross margin in the fourth quarter.

Deutsche Bank’s revised model for Rivian now estimates Q3 revenues to hit $867 million, a decrease from its previous $951 million estimate and even lower than the market consensus of $1.088 billion, as noted in a report from Investing.com. The bank’s FY 2024 delivery forecast has been revised to around 51,000 vehicles, with estimated revenues at $4.4 billion and EBITDA at a loss of $2.7 billion. 

Deutsche Bank also noted that it was expecting Rivian to deliver 56,000 vehicles in 2025, down from its previous estimate of 62,000 units. This was due to the bank anticipating that the electric truck maker’s supply chain issues could extend into the fourth quarter of 2024. 

Rivian’s supply chain issues in the third quarter were reportedly due in no small part to a miscommunication with supplier Essex Furukawa, which provides copper windings for electric motors. As claimed in a previous report from Bloomberg News, Rivian miscalculated when it communicated its supply and demand needs with the supplier. As a result, Essex Furukawa reportedly committed its resources to support other customers.  

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